Elon Musk’s Grok 4 demo on July 9th wasn’t all technical jargon; it included a curveball: tasking the AI with forecasting this year’s World Series winner.
Forget hunches. Forget hot takes. xAI’s Grok 4, after crunching data from Polymarket’s prediction markets for a mere 4.5 minutes using its “Heavy” reasoning, has spoken: The Los Angeles Dodgers are the odds-on favorites to hoist the 2025 World Series trophy. Grok gives them a 21.6% chance – the best in baseball, but a figure that still begs the question: Are the Dodgers a sure thing, or are fans betting with their hearts instead of their heads?
Grok isn’t alone in tipping its hat to the Dodgers. Vegas odds mirror the AI’s foresight, with ESPN BET placing Los Angeles as the +225 favorite as the All-Star break looms. But keep an eye on the Detroit Tigers (+750). While the Dodgers might be the frontrunners, Detroit, steamrolling the AL Central and boasting MLB’s best record (59-35), is a dark horse ready to bolt from the shadows.
X is buzzing: Traders are chasing a “Grokstradamus” dream, hoping AI-powered insights will unlock an “infinite money glitch” in the markets.
But we wanted to know: Did the other major AI models agree with Grok?
Turns out, not entirely.
What other AIs think
ChatGPT’s crystal ball wasn’t entirely sold on the Dodgers, assigning them a 26% chance of glory while whispering “overpriced” under its digital breath. Meanwhile, the algorithm pinpointed Detroit as baseball’s hidden gem. Despite only giving the Tigers a 16% shot at the title, it saw value where Vegas didn’t – odds implying a mere 12.5% chance. The secret weapon? Tarik Skubal’s scorching fastball and a pitching staff humming with league-leading efficiency.
DeepSeek sees Los Angeles as a likely World Series victor, pegging their chances at 23%. However, the algorithm whispers a word of caution: are the Dodgerstoohyped? While LA is favored, DeepSeek’s cold, calculating circuits prefer a wager on the Phillies. Why? Because the potential payout offers a far more enticing gamble. Forget the favorites; chase the value.
Strapped for cash and knowing the big bosses wouldn’t spring for Grok 4 Heavy’s $300 price tag just to settle this, we turned to the budget-friendly Grok 4. The result? A nail-biting prediction: Tigers squeaking past the Dodgers by a hair – less than a single percentage point separated victory from defeat.
Detroit’s pitching aces? A force. The Dodgers’ walking wounded? A looming question mark. History’s whisper, suggesting championship hangovers are more than just a myth? All three models point to these factors, hinting at potential cracks in the perceived pecking order.
It’s all in the prompt
Grok 4’s “Heavy” reasoning wows, but killer predictions don’t require a $300/month subscription. Unlock sharp insights from everyday models with the secret weapon:prompt engineering. The magic formula? At a minimum, successful prompts require these three core ingredients:
“Unlock the AI Oracle Within: Command the model’s persona. Don’t just give instructions; breathe life into it. Imagine: ‘Assume the mantle of a seasoned Prediction Market Analyst, a master of Bayesian forecasting, a guardian against risk. Your wisdom guides fortunes.'”
Next, empower the model with a strategic roadmap. Don’t just tell itwhatto do; dictatehowit conquers. Instruct it to become a data hawk, swooping down on real-time betting odds from every corner of the market. Then, unleash its analytical prowess, pitting its own projections against the wisdom of the crowd to pinpoint hidden value. A model thrives when it transforms from a passive calculator into a discerning judge, weighing market sentiment against its own informed calculations.
Unleash the “Chain-of-Thought” secret weapon! When your AI knowsexactlyhow to tackle a problem, prepare for dazzling results. Stumped on guiding it? No sweat! Simply ask it to map out the solution stepsfirst.
“Instead of guessing, anchor your claims with data. Name-drop resources like Baseball-Reference’s simulations or FanGraphs’ projections – solid gold for proving your point isn’t just hot air.”
Want to play futurist sports bettor? We built a custom GPT, a sibling to Grok 4, that does just that. Engage in natural conversation, and it’ll sift through odds, dissect team performances, and pinpoint hidden betting gold. Consider it your AI-powered hunch generator, born from a playful experiment.
We also tossed our prediction market prompt on GitHub if you want to experiment with your own chatbot.
Venture forth at your own peril! We’re not dispensing financial wisdom, nor are these silicon soothsayers. Should fortune frown, don’t come crying to us. But if the odds ever favor you, a celebratory toast is always welcome.
Thanks for reading Grok 4 Predicts Dodgers for World Series Win—But Other AIs Arent So Sure
